Document Type : Original Article

Author

Geography department, Humanities College, Sulaimani University, Iraq-Kurdistan Region

Abstract

The objective of this study is to analyze the changes in annual, minimum and maximum temperatures due to global warming phenomena during period (1973-2015) in Sulaimani city and its impact on energy consumption on the heating and cooling to get comfort degree for residents in Sulaimani city.
The Microsoft Excel-2010 analysis Toolpak which provides statistical analysis tools were used to discern the mean annual trends. Results show that there is difference in change of temperature over the forty-two years study period, the average annual temperature that the average annual temperature in Sulaimani city increased by (0.0716 C˚/ y) in summer time while at July during the period increase by the rate (0.1844 C˚/ y) in winter time at January, The linear trend analysis for the monthly maximum temperature for January and July for period (1973-2015) is shown in figure (5), the trend analysis cleared the rate of increase in January (0.1777 C˚/ y) and in July (0.0606 C˚/ y), also the trend analysis of monthly minimum temperature for the same period shows rate of increase in temperatures, January (0.1751 C˚/ y) and July (0.0667 C˚/ y), for minimum temperature than maximum temperature (about 0.751 C˚).
By using data of daily electricity consumption and temperature for the period 1973-2015 in Sulaimani, the variation of energy consumption and the correlations between energy consumption and temperature are analyzed. In order to determine the months of need for cooling and months for heating in Sulaimani city, the temperature (18.33 C˚) was essentially taken as the thermal threshold for heating and (23.89 C˚) as the thermal threshold for cooling.




 For the period of 1973-2015, the annual CDD and HDD of Sulaimani are calculated and a linear trend analysis shows that in warm months (April to October), the CDD would increase at a rate of ( ) while in cold months (  C˚ d) November to March)  the HDD would decrease at a rate of ( C˚d). A positive relationship was obtained between high temperatures and the amount of energy use in cooling while the linear relationship and discontinuities emerge in cold seasons.

Keywords

Ebinger, Jane; Vergara, Walter. 2011. Climate impacts on energy systems: key issues for energy sector adaptation (English). Washington, DC: World Bank.
 Hansen, J., R. Ruedy, M. Sato, and K. Lo, 2010: Global surface temperature change. Rev. Geophys., 48, RG4004, doi:10.1029/2010RG000345
 Hou, Y.-L., Mu, H.-Z., Dong, G.-T., et al., 2014. Influences of urban temperature on the electricity consumption of Shanghai. Adv. Clim. Change Res. 5(2), doi. 10.3724/SP.J.1248.2014.074.
 Hekkenberg, M., Benders, R. M. J., Moll, H. C., et al., 2009. Indications for a changing electricity demand pattern: The temperature dependence of the electricity demand in the Netherlands. Energy Policy. 37(4), 1542-1551.
 IPCC, 2013. Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. In: Stocker, T.F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K., Tignor, M., Allen, S.K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., Midgley, P.M. (Eds.), Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Repo of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press,Cambridge, UK and New York, NY (1535 pp).
 Matiu, M., Ankerst, D.P., Menzel, A., 2016. Asymmetric trends in seasonal temperature variability in instrumental records from ten stations in Switzerland, Germany and the UK from 1864 to 2012. Int. J. Climatol. 36 (1), 13–27. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ joc.4326.
Roshan & Grab, 2012; Omidvar et al, 2016. Modeling and spatial analysis of future needs for cooling in Iran: Physical geography research quarterly. Volume 49, Issue 2, Summer 2017,
Song, C., Pei, T., Zhou, C., 2014. The role of changing multiscale temperature variability in extreme temperature events on the eastern and central Tibetan Plateau during 1960–2008. Int. J. Climatol. 34 (14), 3683–3701. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3935.
 Yan, Y.-Y., 1998. Climate and residential electricity consumption in Hong Kong. Energy. 23, 17-20.
Wentz, F. J., L. Ricciardulli, K. Hilburn, and C. Mears (2007), How much more rain will global warming bring?, Science, 317(5835), 233–235, 10.1126/ science.1140746